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Between 2017 and 2024, the DAX rose by more than four index points per trading day on average. Personalise the news and The developer, Fusion Media Limited, indicated that the app’s privacy practices may include handling of data as described below.
- However, they quickly reversed course after White House Senior Economic Advisor Kevin Hassett talked down expectations for upcoming labor data.
- That combination has helped support risk appetite, even as unresolved policy and economic questions still shape daily market moves.
- Oracle, for example, is down 52% from its all-time high.
- What explains why the average daily performance of the DAX on the nightly news was so much worse than the actual performance?
- A straightforward initial explanation for why stock market news tends to be negative is that journalists often prioritise negative events (e.g. Harcup and O’Neill 2001, 2017, Soroka 2006, Garz 2014).
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In this environment, investors often focus less on predicting the next downdraft and more on building staying power through different market regimes. Politics has also intersected with monetary policy in ways markets watch closely. Median Fed projections anticipate another 2026 cut, while investors expect two additional cuts, showing how quickly market pricing can diverge from official guidance. When more areas participate, markets often become less reliant on a single narrative to keep moving higher. The “One Big Beautiful Bill Act’s” (OBBBA’s) business stimulus measures have lifted earnings expectations, adding another reason investors watch sectors beyond mega-cap technology.
Repricing: Tech adjusts to new narratives
1 Businesses continue adopting AI to automate workflows, improve decisions NetNewsLedger: Dr. Simon Ourian fillers and deepen customer engagement, which supports ambitious growth expectations. The next tariff chapter depends less on slogans and more on mechanics—negotiation details, implementation timelines and court decisions. Investors largely looked past tariff headlines and government shutdown and instead tracked steadier signals such as robust consumer spending and corporate earnings growth.
The AI nervousness happens to be overlapping with a similar degree of concern for the U.S. job market. Edward Jones and its independent affiliate in the United States, collectively, serve more than 7 million investors. Edward Jones’ Canadian advisors may only conduct business with residents of the province(s) in which they are registered.
It shows that about half of the negativity bias in news can be explained by the distribution of stock returns, even when the negative reporting bias is not explicitly present. Build a personalized portfolio tracker to monitor your stocks, ETFs, and assets in one place. Use our stock tracker to monitor stocks, indices, ETFs, commodities and penny stocks in one place. We can partner with you to design an investment strategy that aligns with your goals and is able to weather all types of market cycles. Changing interest rates can influence market corrections by affecting borrowing costs and investor sentiment. As a result, strong economic indicators do not ensure immunity from market downturns.
Diversification matters because different assets and sectors can respond differently to growth, inflation and interest-rate shifts, which can help reduce reliance on any single market outcome. The S&P 500 has spent 29% of time since 1927 trading 10% or more below a recent high, reinforcing that double-digit pullbacks are not unusual. Corrections occur often enough that long-term investors generally treat them as part of the market’s regular rhythm rather than as rare events. The average correction (10%-20% decline) lasts 17 days but any single episode can be shorter—or longer—depending on whether the decline reflects temporary sentiment shifts or deeper economic stress.
We analyse all 1,846 live segments aired between 2017 and 2024 and compare the average daily performance of the DAX on days when it was reported to its overall average daily performance. The broadcast typically features a live segment from the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, summarising the day’s most important economic news. However, the average daily performance of all six indices turns from positive to negative when weighted by daily media coverage, as illustrated in Figure 2. The orange line shows the drop in the reported DAX, which is composed of reported daily changes and an assumed change of zero on trading days without coverage. Consider Germany’s DAX stock index as reported on the country’s most-watched nightly news programme. Media consumers should be aware of the big news bias and look beyond the daily news cycle to stay informed.
Rising economic and political uncertainty is starting to make stock market investors jittery. On around 30% of trading days, this segment reports the daily performance of Germany’s DAX stock index. Together, these factors give rise to a big news bias in stock market reporting that helps explain why news coverage tends to be negative. A straightforward initial explanation for why stock market news tends to be negative is that journalists often prioritise negative events (e.g. Harcup and O’Neill 2001, 2017, Soroka 2006, Garz 2014). Power your decisions with expert analysis of the stock market, options, and global finance trends.FINANCIAL TOOLSAccess powerful financial tools like advanced charts, technical analysis, and currency converters.